Insights

In Gold We Trust Report 2022 - Stagflation 2.0

Sprott is proud to be a sponsor of Incrementum's 2022 edition of its annual In Gold We Trust report.

Key Takeaways from Incrementum

1

Monetary policy has its back to the wall. It is forced to at least pretend to stand up to wolfish inflation without causing a recessionary bear.

2

The Federal Reserve is acting late but (for now) decisively. Internationally, this is increasingly putting central banks under pressure to follow suit.

3

The balancing act of fighting inflation without triggering distortions on the markets may be doomed to failure. The vehemence of the tightening cycle that has begun threatens to end the Everything Bubble in an Everything Crash.

4

The current wave of inflation could peak this year in the wake of rising asset price deflation. However, a reversal of monetary policy could already usher in the next wave of inflation.

5

The price of gold has also been affected by the Federal Reserve’s tightening. Even though gold is doing well relative to all other asset classes this year, further headwinds may be expected for gold in the short term.

6

We are sticking to our long-term price target of USD 4,800 by 2030. For the gold price to remain on track until the end of the year, it would have to rise to around USD 2,200. Provided that monetary policy departs from the announced hawkish path, we consider this to be realistic.

Ronald-Peter Stoeferle and Mark Valek, investment managers of the asset management company Incrementum AG in Liechtenstein, are the authors of the report. In Gold We Trust report is widely considered the “gold standard” in gold-related research.

 

Additional Resources 

2022 Report Compact Version

2022 Report Extended Version

In Gold We Trust Website

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